Who Has The Median Vote?

The Democracy Fund Voter Study Group has just released data on 2016 presidential election voters and their political stances from economic and social perspectives. This analyzes two categories of voter sentiments: economic and moral/identity issues. This presents a four-quadrant chart, divvying people up into populist, liberal, conservative, and libertarian political stances. The results of the chart for 2016 Trump voters was a spectrum on conservative moral/identity issues, but fairly centrist economic views.

Applying the Downsian theory of parties formulating policies in order to win elections rather than winning elections in order to formulate policies, Trump was able to transform his policies to appeal to historically populist voters. Trump was able to rally people behind him by transforming the GOP to appeal to its conservative voters who lean only center-right on economics. On the other hand, the Democratic party has not been able to win elections despite homogeneity among liberal voters because the party’s base is too far left to convince persuadable voters. The GOP in 2016 was able to optimally cater to the median voter while the Democratic party held strong among its base. As the country shifts left, the Democratic party is out of touch with median voter, hence it’s inability to win elections.

Facebook Regulation

 For the last several years, parties have called for Facebook and other social media conglomerates to be regulated due to egregious abuses of user data. This has resulted from a lack of supervision. As many representatives do not understand the technology and thus do not know its capabilities. A former Facebook employee turned whistleblower has explained to Congress and the public the actual abuses that need to be dealt with. The regulations being called for deal with the "power to request data from Facebook." These regulations are being suggested in hopes that Facebook must offer complete transparency to its user and regulators. Although Facebook has been the target of data privacy protection regulation, much of it has been done for the benefit of Facebook. For example, one law protects Facebook and other social media sites from being prosecuted over their users' posts. The article further discusses how regulation like section 230 lulls users into a false sense of security regarding their private data; however, it does very little in reality.

This article supports the catch theory and Peltzman model of regulation. A powerful firm such as Facebook was able to acquire regulation designed and operated primarily for its benefit: regulation that protects it from lawsuits regarding its users' views and tricks users into thinking it's being regulated. This shows Stigler's greatest fear: special interest groups becoming too powerful. However, the new regulation being pushed is against the interests of Facebook. This supports the Peltzman model as it is a walk-back of the Stigler theory on regulation. It shows that utility-maximizing representatives will create regulation when special interest groups (users and Facebook whistleblowers) demand it. Stigler previously only thought the demand was great enough when an industry giant was applying the pressure. However, in the Peltzman model, the total satiation point is pushed back due to the decreasing marginal benefit to politicians if they make their constituents unhappy. 

Voting in Fantasy Football Trades

Sitting with a pitiful record of 1-5, my fantasy football team doesn't have a great chance to make the playoffs.  However, I am still interested in my league because of our voting rules about trades.  In my league once a trade is agreed upon, the other teams have 2 days to review it and can vote to approve or veto.  If 4 of the 10 teams vote against the trade, it does not go through.  To me, this threshold seems to balance between decision making costs with external costs, especially since some teams never vote because they are less invested in the league (perhaps because they derive less utility from bragging rights or don't fear the punishment for the last place team).  For example, if one team wanted to trade Tom Brady for a practice squad player, our league could easily rally the numbers to veto and wouldn't need to waste time coming to an obvious decision.  On the other hand, if you make a trade, one or two people can't easily impose an external cost on you by denying it.

This past week was the first time a trade was rejected, and I was surprised.  In my eyes, the trade seemed fair and clearly those involved in the trade did, too, otherwise they would not have agreed in the first place (because trade creates value).  So, I stopped to consider why other teams might veto it.  I noticed that the teams who vetoed were the 4 teams who currently had spots in the playoffs.  It seems to me these four teams did not necessarily vote on if the trade was "fair," but more so on how the trade would potentially affect them.  Although morally questionable, I think voting in this way is completely rational, so I cannot blame the playoff teams for their actions.

Right to Repair and Capture Theory

Right to Repair is a movement that wants consumers to be able to have their products repaired by parties independent from the dealer or manufacturer of a product.  This movement has been growing in popularity in the tractor, medical equipment, and automobile industries, but I will focus on the consumer electronics industry.  To provide an example of the issue, let’s say your MacBook breaks and you need a new charging chip, instead of buying it online and repairing your MacBook yourself or having an independent repair shop do it, you must go to Apple to repair it.

Regulations were previously passed that allowed these practices often in the name of protecting consumers' data.  There is little merit to this claim however as there is little reason to doubt the trustworthiness of most independent repair shops.  Capture Theory on the other hand, offers a compelling reason why Apple pushed for these regulations.  The regulations are a form of entry control that allows Apple to have a monopoly on the repair of Apple devices which allow Apple to create durable rents.  Its clear the regulation are not pro-consumer however the costs are dispersed across everyone and often not large enough for most people to be too upset by. 

That said, there has been recent pushback recently as consumers have become less ignorant of the issue.  Using the objective function of elected representatives under the Stigler-Peltzman model of regulation, h has been increasing causing a decrease in M meaning elected representatives should be more hesitant in supporting the continuing existence of these regulations as their net votes from supporting the regulations decreases.  So far, the change in M has not been significant enough to alter the voting behavior of elected representatives but that could change if the current trend continues.

Government Regulation: The Cure for Negative Externalities of Drug Use?

     Rhode Island is instituting government controlled sites for the injection of illicit drugs. This is quite an interesting turn of events, instead of enforcing the existing laws, this state is changing its policies to effectively end the use of illicit drugs.

    Currently, drug use is countered with fines and prison time. This action has a very high negative externality for society, as the administrative costs and cost of imprisoning drug users is so high. Also, the use of these drugs has further amplified the HIV/Aids epidemic and crime, costing society even more. 

    As illicit drug use is still rampant, Rhode Island has realized its current policies are not working and are implementing a new way to curb drug use: safe injection sites. These locations will provide safe and clean access to drugs and work to slowly get those addicted off of the substances. This will lower prison and crime rates, as well as drug-related diseases as it will all occur under government regulation. This is an exciting new tactic and I hope it will work as it will greatly reduce negative externalities by reducing crime rates (the drugs are freely available and will not need to be purchased by addicts), and increasing healthy practices (clean needles and sanitized injection sites). 

I think this falls under government as a paternal figure when it comes to justifying government regulation, and as our current efforts have not worked, I am hopeful to see if these new practices will effectively put an end to illicit drug use.