Sunday, October 03, 2021

Beach house and median voter

Recently me and my friends decided to go to Virginia Beach for fall break. When we were picking AirBnbs, disagreements arose. After eliminating some less preferred options, we came down to two options: one beach house that comes with a hot tub and a swimming pool at a 240$ per person 2-day rate, and a cheaper option in Norfolk at a 150$ per person 2-day rate. 6 kids with higher monthly allowances strong rooted for the more expensive option, whereas 5 of us voted for the cheaper option. The 6 people who clearly preferred the option A stated their reasonings very straight-forwardly, while people with weaker financial capabilities barely spoke up (they quietly voted for option B and took no further actions) out of embarrassment. Few moments after the voting took place, one person who voted for option B dropped out of the trip (abstention) because he felt alienated, as the group policy preference was clearly left-leaning (illustrated in the graph). Feeling also very strongly about option B, I first decided to mobilize right-leaning group members to speak up about their financial challenges and I thought maybe the left-voters will be empathetic and change their vote. But since I just learned about voting behavior in Econ 3330, I thought to myself: maybe I should instead find the median voter, and we can potentially come up with an option that is priced in between while also having some perks that may satisfy voters from both sides. I then went to talk to some people in the friends group that appeared to be more neutral on their decision, and surprisingly found out that 2 option A voters and 1 option B voter actually did not care much about about which house we end up choosing. 

That became the turning point of this vote. The median voter, one of the three people I talked to, took the initiative of speaking up in the group chat, saying that we should try harder to find a middle option, otherwise she's gonna drop out too. We will then have less people to split the cost and the price per person will be even higher and nobody wants to see that happen. We did, in the end, find one that falls just in between at a price of $200, that is in closer proximity to the beach than the previous option B, comes with one self-heating swimming pool, however has 1 less room than option A. People from both sides ended up cooperating, and reached an consensus on this new housing option under a simple majority. This experience reinforced what i learned in this class that, the median voter's vote is decisive in many instances when majority vote is decisive, the policy space is single-issued, and individual preferences are single-peaked. 






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