Sunday, October 08, 2017

Why You Did Not See Me at the Duke Game This Weekend

I usually never go to UVA football games. Something about standing on the hill for four hours under the hot sun watching my team lose just doesn’t sound very appealing to me. I could be using that time on Saturday to do something else, such as getting my public choice homework done. Therefore, my opportunity cost of that time is pretty high, probably around $10 an hour. Additionally, I have other costs of going to football games, such as transportation to the stadium and buying food/water. The overall MC of attending a football game is close to $50 for me. I also don’t particularly enjoy football, so I derive no utility from watching, and my friends do not exert any sort of pressure on me to attend.

However, I saw an email last week that piqued my interest in the upcoming game against Duke. The subject line was “Hoo Wants a Chance at Free Tuition?!” and within it, UVa offered in-state tuition to one student for the spring semester. All the student had to do was come to the football game to be entered in the raffle and be present at the 4th quarter in order to receive it. The model we developed in class to evaluate the costs and benefits of voting came in handy when I made the decision whether or not to attend the game. My expected marginal benefit of attending the game was the amount of tuition, which is around $6,500 for one semester of in state, multiplied by the probability that I would win. There are currently 15,891 undergraduates at UVa. If we assume that approximately 1/10th of students attend the game, then I have a 1/1,590 (0.063%) chance of winning. My expected marginal benefit is ($6,500)*(0.00063) = $4.08. 


            As you can see, my MC ($50) is much greater than my expected marginal benefit ($4.08) and that is why I did not go to the Duke game this Saturday. Maybe I have no school spirit, or maybe I'm just being rational. 

1 comment:

Seth Iverson said...

So you're telling me that you derive ZERO utility from seeing the Devil beaten by the 'Hoos? I could understand your absence from the game in the event that we were playing an opponent like Clemson where expected utility is very low due to low chances and not a huge reward in the event of victory (it's football). But we had a decent chance of beating Duke with our 3-1 record going into it. Additionally, the utility gained from seeing Duke lose at any activity is normally quite high for UVA students, so I'd expect a good amount of social pressure to go.