For the last
month or so, my apartment has been plagued by addiction—addiction to what may
be one of the most entertaining shows in baking show history: The Great British
Baking Show. While this is a wonderful show that should be seen by all of us
across the pond, there’s another British masterpiece that I think we would
enjoy far more. Golden Balls.
Golden Balls brings game theory to life—literally. Golden Balls is a British game show
based on the prisoner’s dilemma. Except it has a twist. Instead of the
individual contestants being placed in separate environments, they are placed
at a table directly across from one another… in front of a live studio
audience. The game has a cash prize and two contestants. The allocation of the
cash prize is determined by two
decisions made by the contestants. Each contestant has two options: split or
steal the pot. If both players choose to split, they split the entire pot. If
one player chooses to split and the other to steal, the player that chose to
steal gets the entire pot. However, if both choose to steal, both get nothing.
So basically, your classic prisoner’s dilemma situation.
But the twist is
that these people aren’t making this decision separately. There sitting 3 feet
away from one another and are encouraged to negotiate—let the mind games BEGIN!
Unsurprisingly so, this set up is the main source of entertainment. In many
economics classes we have explored the idea that when allowed to discuss we
would be one step closer to minimizing issues of imperfect information. But that’s
not necessarily the case. The problem here is that we are working with humans
who admittedly have incentives to lie, cheat, and steal—especially if they
don’t have established trust with the other player. In this game, they don’t
have that incentive. The contestants are complete strangers to one another. The
challenge here is getting the players to trust
each other.
In the clip
above, one player attempts to convince the other to choose “split,” promising
that he will split the pot after the
show ends. But what incentive does that player have to trust him? He very well
could just go back on his word, ignore the agreement, and go off on his merry
way with the whole pot. Besides a very steadfast moral compass, the contestants
have little to no loyalty to one another. Without that loyalty, the power of persuasion becomes the
imperative—and there, the strategies are endless.
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